{"id":1471,"date":"2025-01-16T11:48:00","date_gmt":"2025-01-16T03:48:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.battery-material.com\/?p=1471"},"modified":"2025-01-16T11:48:18","modified_gmt":"2025-01-16T03:48:18","slug":"inventory-of-cathode-materials-in-2024-market-forecast-for-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.battery-material.com\/fr\/inventory-of-cathode-materials-in-2024-market-forecast-for-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Inventaire des mat\u00e9riaux cathodiques en 2024 ! Pr\u00e9visions du march\u00e9 pour 2025 !"},"content":{"rendered":"

En 2024, les mat\u00e9riaux cathodiques conna\u00eetront un d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibre entre l\u2019offre et la demande. En raison d\u2019une guerre des prix entre les principaux constructeurs automobiles, l\u2019utilisation de batteries au lithium ternaire a chut\u00e9. En revanche, la demande de mat\u00e9riaux \u00e0 base de phosphate de fer et de lithium a grimp\u00e9 en fl\u00e8che. Leur utilisation a augment\u00e9 rapidement. Dans le m\u00eame temps, le phosphate de fer et de lithium est devenu le \u00ab roi du roi du volume \u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Soit plus haut, soit plus bas, soit plus durable ! Certaines entreprises ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 cri\u00e9 \u00ab pr\u00e9parez-vous \u00e0 10 ans de pertes \u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Une nouvelle vague de suppressions de modernisation industrielle a commenc\u00e9 en 2024 ! O\u00f9 ira-t-elle en 2025 ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mat\u00e9riaux ternaires : support des co\u00fbts, stop loss et profit<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En 2024, les performances des mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res ternaires sont d'abord inqui\u00e9tantes, puis stables. Au premier semestre, elles sont encore \u00ab \u00e0 moiti\u00e9 rentables et \u00e0 moiti\u00e9 d\u00e9ficitaires \u00bb. Au second semestre, \u00e0 mesure que les prix se redresseront, elles cesseront progressivement de perdre de l'argent et deviendront rentables.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les donn\u00e9es montrent que, de janvier \u00e0 novembre 2024, les batteries au lithium avaient une capacit\u00e9 de 473 GWh. Il s'agit d'une augmentation de 391 TP3T par rapport \u00e0 l'ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re. La popularit\u00e9 ne concerne que le phosphate de fer et de lithium. La part des batteries au lithium ternaire a diminu\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Mat\u00e9riaux<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

En raison du ralentissement de la croissance de la demande, les prix des mat\u00e9riaux cathodiques ternaires ont stagn\u00e9. Au cours du second semestre de l'ann\u00e9e, ils ont montr\u00e9 des signes de stabilisation. Les mat\u00e9riaux ternaires peuvent \u00eatre produits en grandes quantit\u00e9s. Mais il y a peu de nouvelles capacit\u00e9s. Les prix des entreprises existantes sont bas en raison des co\u00fbts et de la consolidation du secteur. Alors que les v\u00e9hicules \u00e0 \u00e9nergie nouvelle \u00e0 bas prix inondent le march\u00e9, les batteries au lithium ternaire ne peuvent pas \u00eatre rentables. Les principales entreprises de mat\u00e9riaux ternaires, comme Dangsheng et Rongbai, lorgnent les march\u00e9s \u00e9trangers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Phosphate de fer lithium : concurrence interne effr\u00e9n\u00e9e et hausses de prix injustifi\u00e9es<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Le lithium fer phosphate est d\u00e9sormais \u00e0 l'honneur, avec une forte demande et une offre \u00e9lev\u00e9e. C'est mieux que les mat\u00e9riaux ternaires. L'essor des climatiseurs \u00e0 pompe \u00e0 chaleur a am\u00e9lior\u00e9 les batteries au lithium fer phosphate. Leurs performances \u00e0 basse temp\u00e9rature sont meilleures. La technologie des batteries et les syst\u00e8mes de gestion thermique ont \u00e9galement progress\u00e9. En cons\u00e9quence, davantage de v\u00e9hicules \u00e9lectriques utilisent ces batteries. Leur endurance \u00e0 basse temp\u00e9rature est d\u00e9sormais plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e et davantage de mod\u00e8les en sont \u00e9quip\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fran\u00e7ais Au cours du premier trimestre et du troisi\u00e8me trimestre 2024, les prix du lithium ont augment\u00e9. L'industrie du phosphate de fer lithium a donc d\u00fb reconstituer ses stocks bon march\u00e9. Le calendrier de production et le taux d'exploitation de l'industrie des batteries au lithium se sont progressivement redress\u00e9s. La production et la capacit\u00e9 de production du phosphate de fer lithium ont beaucoup augment\u00e9 depuis l'ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re. Au cours du premier trimestre et du troisi\u00e8me trimestre 2024, les batteries au phosphate de fer lithium ont produit deux fois leur capacit\u00e9 install\u00e9e. C'\u00e9tait plus que la demande globale du march\u00e9. Il y avait un certain d\u00e9calage temporel entre l'offre et la demande. L'industrie est en pleine d\u00e9stockage. Elle subit une forte pression pour r\u00e9duire les co\u00fbts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En 2024, la capacit\u00e9 de production de phosphate de fer et de lithium sera de 5,2 millions de tonnes. La production r\u00e9elle sera de 2,4 millions de tonnes. Le taux d'utilisation des capacit\u00e9s sera donc inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 50%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En 2024, les batteries lithium-phosphate de fer seront un type de batterie au lithium tr\u00e8s complexe. La surcapacit\u00e9 absolue est devenue une ombre ind\u00e9l\u00e9bile sur les prix des produits et les b\u00e9n\u00e9fices des entreprises.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00e9veloppements r\u00e9cents dans le domaine des mat\u00e9riaux \u00e0 base de lithium et de phosphate de fer<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019industrie du phosphate de fer et de lithium est devenue de plus en plus populaire. Certains produits de phosphate de fer et de lithium haut de gamme sont d\u00e9sormais en p\u00e9nurie. Certaines entreprises sont proches de la pleine production et les prix ont augment\u00e9. Cela est principalement d\u00fb \u00e0 une demande accrue de compactage des produits. En outre, les mises \u00e0 niveau des proc\u00e9d\u00e9s ont provoqu\u00e9 une \u00ab fausse augmentation des prix \u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les mat\u00e9riaux \u00e0 base de phosphate de fer et de lithium peuvent \u00eatre br\u00fbl\u00e9s une fois. Pour augmenter la densit\u00e9 \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique, les fabricants passent d\u00e9sormais du premier au deuxi\u00e8me frittage. Cela augmente la densit\u00e9 de compactage des mat\u00e9riaux. Cela augmente consid\u00e9rablement le co\u00fbt et l'utilisation de la ligne. La capacit\u00e9 de production d'origine \u00e9quivaut \u00e0 une r\u00e9duction de 50%. Cependant, si le mat\u00e9riau est \u00e0 nouveau fritt\u00e9, une tonne de mat\u00e9riau n\u00e9cessitera des frais suppl\u00e9mentaires de 2 000 yuans. Il semble donc que le prix des mat\u00e9riaux \u00e0 base de phosphate de fer et de lithium augmente de 1 000 \u00e0 2 000 yuans. Mais l'augmentation du prix ne peut pas compenser les co\u00fbts plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s apr\u00e8s la \u00ab deuxi\u00e8me combustion \u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il semble que l'industrie se r\u00e9tablisse et que les prix des produits augmentent. Mais une nouvelle vague de mises \u00e0 niveau technologiques et de baisses de prix a commenc\u00e9 en secret. Cela m\u00e8nera \u00e0 une situation qui se pr\u00e9sentera en 2025. Les grandes entreprises pourraient alors \u00eatre embarrass\u00e9es. Elles devront peut-\u00eatre investir davantage, augmenter leur production et mettre \u00e0 niveau leurs produits. Mais elles ne gagneront pas d'argent. Ce jeu d'\u00e9limination s'est soudainement intensifi\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aller aux deux extr\u00e9mit\u00e9s : performances \u00e9lev\u00e9es haut de gamme, performances \u00e0 bas prix<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

L'industrie des mat\u00e9riaux d'\u00e9lectrode positive pour batteries au lithium se trouve \u00e0 la crois\u00e9e des chemins. La demande en mat\u00e9riaux ternaires est forte, mais les co\u00fbts sont \u00e9lev\u00e9s. Les d\u00e9veloppeurs visent donc deux extr\u00eames : les mat\u00e9riaux \u00ab haut de gamme et hautes performances \u00bb et les mat\u00e9riaux \u00ab bas de gamme et rentables \u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019un des objectifs est de tirer profit des produits \u00e0 haute performance. Il s\u2019agit notamment des batteries semi-solides \u00e0 haute teneur en nickel, des batteries cylindriques \u00e0 grande capacit\u00e9 et des outils haut de gamme, des supercars \u00e9lectriques et des voitures volantes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Mat\u00e9riau<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019autre direction est de \u00ab s\u2019en tenir \u00bb au rapport co\u00fbt-performance. Il s\u2019agit de d\u00e9velopper des mat\u00e9riaux \u00e0 base de phosphate de fer et de mangan\u00e8se de lithium et d\u2019\u00ab ouvrir de nouvelles branches \u00bb \u00e0 base de mat\u00e9riaux \u00e0 base de mangan\u00e8se. Apr\u00e8s la production en s\u00e9rie, le phosphate de fer et de mangan\u00e8se de lithium sera le meilleur pour les batteries de v\u00e9hicules \u00e9lectriques. Il pr\u00e9sentera les avantages des batteries ternaires et des batteries au lithium fer, sans pratiquement aucun de leurs inconv\u00e9nients.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pour le phosphate de fer et de lithium, la pr\u00e9paration et le co\u00fbt doivent \u00eatre am\u00e9lior\u00e9s. L'optimisation au niveau du mat\u00e9riau \u00e9tant proche de sa limite, nous nous concentrons sur l'optimisation du processus. Nous cherchons d\u00e9sormais \u00e0 optimiser les \u00e9quipements et les processus. Nous utilisons \u00e9galement le frittage secondaire pour am\u00e9liorer l'utilisation des mat\u00e9riaux. Une nouvelle approche consiste \u00e0 remplacer le carbonate de lithium par du dihydrog\u00e9nophosphate de lithium pour r\u00e9duire la consommation d'\u00e9nergie et les \u00e9missions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pr\u00e9visions du march\u00e9 des mat\u00e9riaux cathodiques pour batteries au lithium l'ann\u00e9e prochaine<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Une \u00e9tude r\u00e9cente montre que la demande d'augmentation des prix pour l'ann\u00e9e prochaine sera forte. Les usines de mat\u00e9riaux pour \u00e9lectrodes positives souhaitent une augmentation d'environ 3 000 yuans\/tonne. Les usines de batteries, en revanche, n'accepteront probablement qu'une augmentation de 1 500 yuans\/tonne, soit la moiti\u00e9 du prix demand\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les r\u00e9sultats pr\u00e9liminaires montrent que les usines de carbonate de lithium ont r\u00e9duit ou mis fin aux remises \u00e0 long terme pour l'ann\u00e9e prochaine. De plus, le prix des mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res de phosphate de fer est en hausse. Les usines de phosphate ont une attitude claire de soutien des prix. On peut en d\u00e9duire que les mat\u00e9riaux d'\u00e9lectrode positive de phosphate de fer et de lithium auront tendance \u00e0 augmenter en termes de prix. La cl\u00e9 est l'augmentation finale du prix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D'apr\u00e8s une analyse d\u00e9taill\u00e9e, les produits avec une pression de poudre de 2,45 et 2,50 occupent la part de march\u00e9 principale. Leur homog\u00e9n\u00e9it\u00e9 et leur faible seuil technique rendront difficile de changer le fait des pertes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cependant, les produits \u00e0 haute pression de poudre (trois g\u00e9n\u00e9rations et demie et plus) ont une petite part de march\u00e9. Le seuil technique \u00e9lev\u00e9 et la densit\u00e9 \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique du produit stimuleront la demande. Les usines qui fabriquent des mat\u00e9riaux d'\u00e9lectrode positive \u00e0 haute pression gagneront en pouvoir de n\u00e9gociation. Elles devraient \u00eatre en mesure de transformer les pertes en b\u00e9n\u00e9fices au cours du second semestre de l'ann\u00e9e prochaine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le march\u00e9 du fer-lithium se stabilisera et conna\u00eetra une croissance l'ann\u00e9e prochaine. Cependant, les vacances du Nouvel An et les stocks \u00e9lev\u00e9s de 2024 affaibliront l'offre et la demande au d\u00e9but de 2025. Le second semestre de 2025 devrait \u00eatre solide.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

En 2024, les mat\u00e9riaux cathodiques conna\u00eetront un d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibre entre l\u2019offre et la demande. En raison d\u2019une guerre des prix entre les principaux constructeurs automobiles, l\u2019utilisation de batteries au lithium ternaire a chut\u00e9. En revanche, la demande de mat\u00e9riaux \u00e0 base de phosphate de fer et de lithium a grimp\u00e9 en fl\u00e8che. Leur utilisation a augment\u00e9 rapidement. Dans le m\u00eame temps, le phosphate de fer et de lithium est devenu le \u00ab roi du roi des [\u2026]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1473,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1471","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-new-energy"],"yoast_head":"\nInventory of cathode materials in 2024! Market forecast for 2025! - Battery material powder-making equipment from China<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"To predict battery cathode materials' development through 2025, consider current trends, research, and market demand.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.battery-material.com\/fr\/inventory-of-cathode-materials-in-2024-market-forecast-for-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Inventory of cathode materials in 2024! 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